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Monday, October 4, 2010
Tues. for NASDAQ?
We suppose Benny could do anything he wants for a little while, but there is no reason for U.S. stocks to go up and especially not tech. We do not see Tues. as a jump day and especially not a high volume day. Of course, we haven't checked Europe overnight, but we will soon.
Semiconductors and tech in general - Silicon Valley
As we recently reminded, the lead time for semi products is long, even if they are simple analog products these days - because simple analog products, these days, have to be smart analog products.
If the tech volume ramps up, the semi's (run mostly by not the brightest business folks in the world) are then forced to ramp. If the economy changes within the 6 months of their big ramp, then it's kind of an "oops!" More so than in any other industry.
So if outlooks go up and down relatively fast, and if the chip fellows knee-jerk react to it, and also the products can be obsolete in 6-mo., then what is the inventory situation? Pretty ugly? Probably you should call us before you invest.
If the tech volume ramps up, the semi's (run mostly by not the brightest business folks in the world) are then forced to ramp. If the economy changes within the 6 months of their big ramp, then it's kind of an "oops!" More so than in any other industry.
So if outlooks go up and down relatively fast, and if the chip fellows knee-jerk react to it, and also the products can be obsolete in 6-mo., then what is the inventory situation? Pretty ugly? Probably you should call us before you invest.
Benny's volume trade
Benny went to a good school and he took at least one physics class.
Benny knows that once a big heavy truck starts speeding up, then it's really hard to slow the truck down. Of course, once a big heavy truck starts to stop/slow down, then it's really hard to get it going forward again!
So once the sell volume brings the xyz price down, it takes a little while for xyz to start moving up again.
In case Benny wanted for xyz to go up, then he would just need to have the buy volume exceed the sell volume by just enough. Then, with his large volume, he would create a big heavy truck speeding up. It would take a little while for the truck to slow down in that opposite case.
The absolute best part for Benny is in tomorrows blog. :)
Benny knows that once a big heavy truck starts speeding up, then it's really hard to slow the truck down. Of course, once a big heavy truck starts to stop/slow down, then it's really hard to get it going forward again!
So once the sell volume brings the xyz price down, it takes a little while for xyz to start moving up again.
In case Benny wanted for xyz to go up, then he would just need to have the buy volume exceed the sell volume by just enough. Then, with his large volume, he would create a big heavy truck speeding up. It would take a little while for the truck to slow down in that opposite case.
The absolute best part for Benny is in tomorrows blog. :)
Exactly as we said
We hate it when the semi's go down. Why would they go up? Because the worldwide economy is so obviously strong? It takes about 3 to 6 months to produce a semiconductor product. Are you aware of what that means? We are.
Sunday, October 3, 2010
Monday NASDAQ open
We don't care about the open and neither should you. Just wait for the volatility once earnings start getting announced. Then make sure you know what to do. We hate it when the semi's go down.
Best thing about Benny
You already know Benny's background and line of work.
Here's the best part so far:
In his position, Benny can provide instructions to the loosely coupled funds. For example, on a given day, Benny could instruct the well endowed hedge fund Benny A to "sell" security xyz and at the same time he could instruct the well endowed hedge fund Benny B to "buy" the security xyz.
Of course, Benny is a smart fellow. The relative buy and sell volumes between A and B are different. :)
Wait until tomorrow when you hear what happens next(!)
Here's the best part so far:
In his position, Benny can provide instructions to the loosely coupled funds. For example, on a given day, Benny could instruct the well endowed hedge fund Benny A to "sell" security xyz and at the same time he could instruct the well endowed hedge fund Benny B to "buy" the security xyz.
Of course, Benny is a smart fellow. The relative buy and sell volumes between A and B are different. :)
Wait until tomorrow when you hear what happens next(!)
Taking advantage of currency wars...
In the market for a luxury car in Silicon Valley?
The dealers bought/buy cars in the factory currency when the dealers think the dollar is strong against the factory currency.
Do you know how to take advantage of the dealers in US dollars in that case?
We do. Don't get left out.
The dealers bought/buy cars in the factory currency when the dealers think the dollar is strong against the factory currency.
Do you know how to take advantage of the dealers in US dollars in that case?
We do. Don't get left out.
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